Urban Grammar

Decoding the socio-economic landscape with satellite imagery

Workshop on Migration, Climate Change and Economic Development
Universidad de Zaragoza
Dani Arribas-Bel
@darribas
Martin Fleischmann
@martinfleis

This talk…

… is not (directly) about migration, climate change, or economic development

is about using different data (📡 🌎) to study socio-economic systems

… uses cities as a useful illustration, but “the sky is the limit”

Cities and …

Climate

  • 3% land
  • +60% energy
  • 75% CO2
Source: UN

Development

Urban Economics

Migration

  • Global hubs
  • Pull
  • Modulate

Cities and …

Why satellite data?

  • Low (marginal) cost
  • Near real-time
  • Ripe for disruption

i.e., this is our “20-year-big-thing”…

But…

  • Unstructured
  • Big
  • Only measure what can be “seen”

Why satellite data?

Characterisations of space based on form and function designed to understand urban environments

Characterisations of space based on form and function designed to understand urban environments

Characterisations of space based on form and function designed to understand urban environments

Characterisations of space based on form and function designed to understand urban environments

British Signatures

📡 🌎 + 💻 + 🤖

Source: Sentinel-2 cloudless

Wild countryside (320x320m)

Urbanity (320x320m)

Predicted class (320x320m)

📡 🌎 + 💻 + 🤖

Why

  • Learn about Spatial Signatures (scale, context)
  • Explore the role of space in NNs
  • Work towards more frequent Spatial Signatures

Experiment’s dimensions

Chip size


[74%]

[57%]

[35%]

[13%]

(Spatial) data augmentation

Model architecture

EfficientNetB4

  • Image Classification
  • Multi-Output Regression

Evaluation

Metrics

Summarisation

Results

Summarisation summary

  • Extra ML pays off
  • M.O.R. worse in general, better within class
  • Spatial context always improves performance
  • Scale: larger is better, except for spatial patterning
  • Spatial sliding rarely (within-class)

Wrap up

Wrap up

[Source]

Wrap up

  • We need to measure cities more, more frequently
  • We can thanks to the 📡 🌎 + 💻 + 🤖 combo
  • How is still W.I.P., but with a stress on the P

Urban Grammar

Decoding the socio-economic landscape with satellite imagery

Workshop on Migration, Climate Change and Economic Development
Universidad de Zaragoza
Dani Arribas-Bel
@darribas
Martin Fleischmann
@martinfleis

Appendix

Building Spatial Signatures

[STAGE] Delimiters Enclosure Anchors Encl. Tess. Characters Clusters Signatures
Enclosed Tessellation
Embedding form & function
Spatial Signatures
+

Meaningful spatial units

Enclosed tessellation

Hierarchy

Sub-classifications